Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

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Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Naftali Bennett26%Yes 26¢No 74¢
Israel Katz24%Yes 24¢No 76¢
Avigdor Lieberman18%Yes 18¢No 82¢
Itamar Ben-Gvir5%Yes 5¢No 95¢
Benny Gantz2%Yes 2¢No 98¢

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Rules Summary

If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.