When will P vs NP be resolved?

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before 204031%Yes 31¢No 69¢
Before 203522%Yes 22¢No 78¢
Before 203012%Yes 12¢No 88¢
Before 20270%Yes 0¢No 100¢
Before 20280%Yes 0¢No 100¢

$161.9 vol

Rules Summary

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.