When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before 203276%Yes 76¢No 24¢
Before 202845%Yes 45¢No 55¢
Before 20279%Yes 9¢No 91¢
Before 20290%Yes 0¢No 100¢
Before 20300%Yes 0¢No 100¢

$1.4K vol

Rules Summary

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.