In what year will the next UK general election be held?

Disclosure

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Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

202946%Yes 46¢No 54¢
202827%Yes 27¢No 73¢
202718%Yes 18¢No 82¢
20263%Yes 3¢No 97¢

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Rules Summary

If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2026 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.